MarketLine Blog

Posts tagged to European Central Bank

Brexit – the meaning of a messy divorce for the Euro area.

MarketLine

The lending channel between many industries and banks in the Euro area has been far from normal since 2008. This factor puts Britain in a better position to negotiate Brexit next year. The Euro area will embark on a period of further unprecedented slowdown by detaching itself from the world’s fourth largest economy. Credit to industries coming from the banking sector is key for the region to grow as the single currency area has a bank-based model as opposed to a capital market model. Debt financing to companies is largely… Read more

Negative Interest rates: Desperate times, desperate measures

MarketLine

Central banks across the developed world have taken to Negative Interest Rate Policies (NIRP) in a radical attempt to stimulate demand- the idea being that those sitting on assets will be penalized in an attempt to either lend the capital or spend it. The UK’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has not ruled out the idea, but Japan, the European Central Bank, Denmark, Sweden and Switzerland have enacted NIRP already for a variety of reasons; Japan and the ECB in last ditch efforts to stimulate demand, Denmark, Sweden and Switzerland in… Read more

Greece – Another Case of Expansionary Austerity Failure

MarketLine

The public austerity program forced upon the Greek population by the European Commission, the European Central Bank, and the International Monetary Fund (Troika) has depressed the economy instead of leading to an economic expansion, under the mantra of “expansionary austerity” policies. Five years of austerity involved drastic reductions in public expenditure, public sector redundancies and tax increases in the context of the worst global contraction of more than 60 years. As the Greek Prime Minister, Yanis Varoufakis, explained in a recent article published on the Project Syndicate website, the hard-line… Read more

Keep calm and take advantage. Deflation, good for the consumer, not so good for business

MarketLine

On Tuesday, May 19, 2015, it was announced by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) that the UK had fallen into deflation for the first time since 1960. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell by 0.1% in the year to April 2015, compared to no change (0.0%) in the year to March 2015. According to the ONS, this is the first time the CPI has recorded a decline over a year since official records began in 1996, and is the first instance of deflation when using comparative data since 1960…. Read more

Euro Area Malaise

MarketLine

The pace of economic recovery in the Eurozone is yet to gain momentum. Real Gross Domestic Product, which is the gross income of the entire region, rose by 0.1% in 2013, following a decrease of 0.4% in 2012. However, according to the latest projections of the European Central Bank, “a gradual recovery in domestic and external demand is expected to be the driving factor behind the projected sustained increase in activity in 2014.” Let’s not forget that the financial crisis has had a permanent impact on the Gross Domestic Product… Read more